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Prediction markets
13 active markets
· category “Oil”
How it works
How to trade
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?
14%
chance
Yes
No
$2.38M
Vol.
Aug 31
oil
Potential payout
$25
→
$172
65 trading now
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?
25%
chance
Yes
No
$629K
Vol.
Sep 30
oil
Potential payout
$25
→
$102
48 trading now
Crude Oil all time high by...?
14%
chance
Yes
No
$2.07M
Vol.
Dec 31
oil
Potential payout
$25
→
$172
61 trading now
Houthis successfully target shipping by...?
July 31
99%
July 25
99%
2 more
$63K
Vol.
Aug 31
oil
Potential payout
$25
→
$26
51 trading now
How many ships transit the Strait of Hormuz week of July 20?
50-74
51%
<50
41%
3 more
$107K
Vol.
Jul 26
oil
Potential payout
$25
→
$50
45 trading now
Will __ ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31?
40+
99%
30+
14%
5 more
$1.36M
Vol.
Jul 31
oil
Potential payout
$25
→
$26
55 trading now
Which month will Strait of Hormuz traffic return to normal?
No Return to Normal Traffic in 2026
47%
December
19%
5 more
$137K
Vol.
Dec 31
oil
Potential payout
$25
→
$54
44 trading now
Houthis successfully target shipping on...?
July 25
52%
August 9
40%
36 more
$44K
Vol.
Aug 31
oil
Potential payout
$25
→
$48
51 trading now
US reissues Iran oil sales sanction relief by...?
35%
chance
Yes
No
$72K
Vol.
Aug 31
oil
Potential payout
$25
→
$71
50 trading now
Avg. # of ships transiting Strait of Hormuz end of July?
0-20
95%
20-40
4%
3 more
$242K
Vol.
Jul 31
oil
Potential payout
$25
→
$26
53 trading now
Will US crude oil reserves fall to __ by August 28?
300M
99%
285M
87%
4 more
$17K
Vol.
Sep 9
oil
Potential payout
$25
→
$26
52 trading now
Avg. # of ships transiting Bab el-Mandeb Strait end of July?
31-33
36%
25-27
24%
5 more
$12K
Vol.
Jul 31
oil
Potential payout
$25
→
$70
43 trading now
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