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Prediction markets
17 active markets
· category “Science”
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How to trade
Who will win the 2026 Fields Medal?
Hong Wang
99%
Yu Deng
99%
9 more
$879K
Vol.
Jul 30
science
Potential payout
$25
→
$26
64 trading now
Precipitation in Hong Kong in July?
600mm+
85%
575-600mm
8%
8 more
$28K
Vol.
Jul 31
science
Potential payout
$25
→
$29
37 trading now
How many 5.5 or above earthquakes July 20 - July 26?
≤8
17%
Yes
No
9
26%
Yes
No
$20K
Vol.
Jul 26
science
Potential payout
$25
→
$98
51 trading now
2026 July 1st, 2nd, 3rd hottest on record?
1st hottest
94%
3rd hottest
6%
2 more
$112K
Vol.
Jul 31
science
Potential payout
$25
→
$27
42 trading now
July 2026 Temperature Increase (ºC)
1.20–1.24ºC
83%
1.25–1.29ºC
13%
4 more
$43K
Vol.
Aug 1
science
Potential payout
$25
→
$30
47 trading now
Screwworm National Emergency declared by...?
December 31
53%
August 30
48%
2 more
$1.4K
Vol.
Jan 1
science
Potential payout
$25
→
$48
37 trading now
Precipitation in NYC in July?
4-5"
41%
5-6"
28%
4 more
$32K
Vol.
Jul 31
science
Potential payout
$25
→
$61
48 trading now
Cyclosporiasis cases in U.S. by July 31?
2500+
99%
3000+
99%
4 more
$35K
Vol.
Jul 31
science
Potential payout
$25
→
$26
37 trading now
FDA approves Retatrutide this year?
2%
chance
Yes
No
$578K
Vol.
Dec 31
science
Potential payout
$25
→
$313
48 trading now
How many 6.5 or above earthquakes July 20 - July 26?
0
82%
Yes
No
1
16%
Yes
No
$5.7K
Vol.
Jul 26
science
Potential payout
$25
→
$30
34 trading now
Precipitation in Seattle in July?
<0.5"
61%
1-1.5"
27%
5 more
$1.8K
Vol.
Jul 31
science
Potential payout
$25
→
$41
39 trading now
How many 6.5 or above earthquakes July 27 - August 2?
0
56%
Yes
No
1
28%
Yes
No
$465.32
Vol.
Aug 3
science
Potential payout
$25
→
$45
35 trading now
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